Early last year I wrote a post called prospects for 2016. It was mainly tracking the progress of the El Nino, and I introduced the series of bar plots comparing corresponding months of 1997/8. I've kept updating those plots to end 2016.
Anyway, commenter Uli and others made good use of the thread to make and monitor predictions for 2016. Uli's prediction of 0.99°C at the time turned out to be exact, although the strength of the El Nino caused him to sometimes think a little higher. So I hope this will continue. Uli's main review comment is here.
For my own part, I don't claim any special insight, but I think substantial cooling from here is not very likely (but of course possible). For those who have been following NCEP/NCAR, it has been a wild ride in January:
Pretty warm at the moment. Sea ice, both N and S, has been fascinating too. After a long excursion way below historic levels, the Arctic has dropped back to the field for the moment. The Antarctic excursion was even more extreme, and is still well below other years. Here it is more interesting, because it is not far from the minimum. Again the earlier very high melting rate has not been maintained, but because of the coastline geometry, that is inevitable. A lot of shore doesn't have much ice left to melt (here is the movie.
So I'll leave the thread there open for comments through the year. Thanks, Uli and all.